World Perspectives

Liberation Day Minus One; States Rights, National Losses; The Hammer and USDA

Liberation Day Minus One The Trump team is said to be weighing 20 percent across the board tariffs, reducing the share of U.S. funding of the WTO, and critic James Carville says the Administration has collapsed in less than three months. Morgan Stanley calls all the stated goals for tariffs as the “impossible trinity.” It cannot concurrently generate massive revenues, cause other countries to reset their policies in better favor of America, and cause the reshoring of industry. How can its impact be vastly negative only for the U.S., which has one of the world’s lowest trade dependency (trade/GDP) ranks? The world is unfair. The Europeans and Canadians are free loaders on defense. China's SOE's are a superpower. Every natio...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1075/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.1675/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.8925/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $280.5/short ton, up $4.5 from y...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Continued Edging Lower on Big Supplies

It was a mixed and quiet close to the market after a week of mostly price declines. There were new contract lows scored by front month SRW and HRS. Soybean traders didn’t know where to take their positions and so they left the September and November contracts both unchanged. Outside marke...

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President Trump signed an executive order yesterday unveiling a massive overhaul of U.S. tariff policy, introducing a series of new tariff rates for U.S. trading partners. The executive order was signed hours before today’s deadline, but the order also included a provision to start the ne...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1075/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.1675/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.8925/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $280.5/short ton, up $4.5 from y...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

How Will Soybeans’ Uncertain Outlook Affect Other Commodities?

November soybean futures’ recent move below the psychologically important $10.00 threshold has triggered concerns about weakness there affecting other markets. The question of how soybeans could impact other markets is germane because the oilseed is facing larger and more rapid adjustment...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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