CME corn and soybean prices rebounded today with the December corn contract price back over $4/bushel but November soybeans still under the $10 threshold at $9.76/bushel. Supplies of Brazilian and Ukrainian corn are currently priced at a premium and moving higher. China is capitalizing on cheap U.S. soybean prices by stocking up. The question is where are U.S. corn and soybean prices appropriately priced? The answer is where the market pegs it, though that sounds overly simplistic. A general rule of thumb is to look at the stocks to use ratio (STU). It is a factor built into most price forecasting models, even though it has its weaknesses. For example, U.S. carryover levels have tightened over time, especially since the governm...
What You Need to Know Today: The hot, dry weather forecast continues to drive strength in grain futures with corn and soybeans hitting another day of strong gains. Monday’s Crop Progress and Conditions data were in line with market expectations and showed relatively few concerns for the...
Yesterday we wrote about the Q1 GDP numbers and the June employment reports in an article entitled Real GDP for Q1 Relying on AI Buildout, Held Back by Consumer Spending. That article mentioned that consumer spending had become a drag on GDP. Nonetheless, real GDP in Q1 was revised upward to 2...
Key Takeaways: The Middle East and North Africa's arid climate and limited water resources have created a structural dependence on imported wheat. Government wheat tenders in major importing countries serve as important benchmarks for global trade, providing insight into exporter competitivene...
From WPI Consulting
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.