World Perspectives
livestock

Livestock Round Up: Anticipating Cattle on Feed and Cattle Inventory Reports

USDA will release its monthly Cattle on Feed report tomorrow. Pre-report estimates from the industry peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 July at 100 percent of last year. Placements are expected to be 103 percent of last year and marketings are forecast at 101 percent.

As for the semi-annual inventory report, the July release is typically not full of surprises as it follows the January report. The cattle herd as of 1 January was 99 percent of last year, and last year’s July report was 100 percent of the 2018 report.   Pre-report estimates from the industry peg the total inventory of cattle as of 1 July at 100 percent of last year. The range of analysts’ forecasts were very tight – a low of 99.6 per...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins reversed sharply to -$17/head from $120/head the prior week, as rising fed cattle prices more than offset a modest decline in the Choice cutout. Fed cattle prices increased $12.92/cwt from the prior week while the cutout slipped $3.24/cwt, compressing gross margins and pushi...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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