Yesterday’s WASDE showed USDA’s red meat and broiler production forecast down slightly from last month’s forecasts with lower projected pork production offsetting increases in beef and broilers. Broiler production forecasts remain down the most from the pre-COVID March estimates.

Forecast end-of-year average live animal prices are very bearish. Recent strengthening in fed steer prices shows an increase over last month’s projection, while barrow and gilt forecast prices continue to drop and supply adjustments in broilers keep prices steady.

The July inflation data has been released. It shows that food prices were down for the month – the first drop since April 2019. The overall food category was down 0.4 p...