Last week’s Cattle on Feed report shows there are a lot of cattle in the pipeline while the sector is struggling to figure out where holiday beef demand is headed. To that point, look at the total of wholesale choice cuts loads sold in October - well above the five-year average as retailers seemingly are not as active in covering ahead for holiday demand.

Per capita consumption of beef for Q4 2020 is projected to be 15.1 pounds, down from 14.4 in Q3, but up over 2019 Q4 per capita consumption of 14.8 pounds. Exports for Q4 are projected to be flat and to fall in Q1 2021, and imports of beef and feeders are both up so far. Strong demand for hamburger and processing grade beef has imports up over last year, and beef production is sea...