World Perspectives
livestock

Livestock Roundup: WASDE Trims Cattle Price Outlook

The big news on the livestock side of today’s WASDE was USDA’s reduction in the fed cattle price forecast.

Prices for 2024 were trimmed by $3/cwt and USDA dropped its forecast for 2025 annual average prices by $5/cwt from $191/cwt last month to $186 this month. The supply and demand situation hasn’t changed significantly, but prices have been bearish. Last week was the first time since the first week of March 2023 (when prices exceeded those from the same week in 2015) that cattle prices fell below the previous weekly record.

The forecast for beef production was increased. The WASDE cited higher cow slaughter and heavier cattle weights in the second half of the year. Slaughter weights are up about 30 pounds from last...

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Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated further last week to -$85/head, down from -$17/head the prior week, as continued strength in fed cattle prices again outpaced weakening boxed beef values. The Choice cutout declined $5.14/cwt to $386.41/cwt, while fed cattle prices rose $3.78/cwt to $388.36/cwt,...

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Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8225/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6225/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, up $0...

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Market Commentary: Political Tail Still Wagging the Market Dog

Politics are once again the tail wagging the dog in commodity markets. U.S. negotiations with Iran fell apart (again) over the weekend after Iran refused to agree to a permanent end of its nuclear weapons program. Rather than a return to the recent status quo, however, markets are adjusting to...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated further last week to -$85/head, down from -$17/head the prior week, as continued strength in fed cattle prices again outpaced weakening boxed beef values. The Choice cutout declined $5.14/cwt to $386.41/cwt, while fed cattle prices rose $3.78/cwt to $388.36/cwt,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8225/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6225/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, up $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Political Tail Still Wagging the Market Dog

Politics are once again the tail wagging the dog in commodity markets. U.S. negotiations with Iran fell apart (again) over the weekend after Iran refused to agree to a permanent end of its nuclear weapons program. Rather than a return to the recent status quo, however, markets are adjusting to...

energy

War Impacts

Commodity markets were mixed today, while Wall Street traded higher after President Trump said the Iranians still want to negotiate after he closed the Strait of Hormuz. The result is baffling to some, but the market reflects investor expectations about future corporate earnings and growth rath...

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