Wheat was once again the most interesting commodity in today’s CBOT trade, rising to new highs before settling lower in a “hook reversal”. Corn futures firmed on the addition of some new fund length as well as mild profit taking from previously entered long wheat/short corn spreads. The soy complex remained under some pressure but soyoil found support from commercial buying as well as renewed long interest. The export market is likely to be quiet this week as the Chinese Lunar New Year starts and most traders in that country are on holiday. The timing is unfortunate for U.S. exporters in light of the Phase One deal, but U.S. corn and wheat should be competitive when buyers return to their desks. The biggest risk is...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.