World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and wheat found continued pressure from overnight analysis of the August WASDE, while the soy complex managed to find significant support for the day. The market is still debating the accuracy of USDA’s corn estimates, but fund position liquidation is forcing it to adopt those figures for now. The dumpster fire that is the cattle markets continues to rage out of control (is it too soon to use that metaphor?) with both feeder cattle and live cattle futures closing limit down on their expanded daily trading limits. Outside markets were mostly higher this morning after the Trump administration announced its plans to impose tariffs on $300 billion of Chinese goods as of 1 September would be delayed on some products until 15 December...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Weekend Pullbacks but Nothing Scary

It was a pause and reflect day for some contracts, and more getting beat down for the cattle market. The latter invoking more limit-down safeguards. There were slight gains for soymeal, HRW and hogs, with the rest of the complex showing red. There was good volume for a Friday in corn, soybeans,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4175/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, up $1.8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Weekend Pullbacks but Nothing Scary

It was a pause and reflect day for some contracts, and more getting beat down for the cattle market. The latter invoking more limit-down safeguards. There were slight gains for soymeal, HRW and hogs, with the rest of the complex showing red. There was good volume for a Friday in corn, soybeans,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4175/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, up $1.8...

livestock

Trump’s Beef Market Fiasco: The Why and Wherefores of Market Fundamentals

As Matt Herrington and Gary Blumenthal covered Wednesday, Trump has announced big plans for the beef market (Market Commentary, Disconnected Beef) which were largely a bust. Gary wrote, “Live cattle futures pulled back sharply on Wednesday with no apparent fundamental catalyst, other than...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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