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Market Commentary

Markets opened with sharp losses overnight following President Trump’s weekend tweet that he will increase tariffs against China from the current 10 percent to 25 percent by Friday. This suddenly changed the China trade agreement discussion from what most had believed was a done deal to perhaps no deal at all. Funds are still holding record-large short positions in grain and oilseed futures. The weekend news added more courage to the short trade. It also made those who have been picking bottoms decide that wasn’t a good idea either. Trading volume in corn and soybean futures was big overnight and then wildly big today. However, the volume today in wheat futures was average. Most analysts had been expecting weather forecasts wou...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: USDA Surprises; Market Marches Its Own Beat

While there was some red flashing early in today’s trading session, by the close all major grain and oilseed contracts were in the green. Ahead of USDA’s September WASDE report, the trade was focused on yield cuts, which had also been the principal output of various private sector c...

wheat

WASDE Soybeans - Sep 2025

Soybeans – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for higher U.S. ending stocks to 300 million bushels, up 10 million from last month. The U.S. seasonal average soybean price is forecast at $10.00 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal and the soybean oil prices are unchanged...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Sep 2025

Corn – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for greater supplies, larger exports, and a slight reduction in ending stocks by 7 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The seasonal average price for corn received by producers is unchanged at $3.90 per bushel. World corn ending stocks are down 1.1 mill...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: USDA Surprises; Market Marches Its Own Beat

While there was some red flashing early in today’s trading session, by the close all major grain and oilseed contracts were in the green. Ahead of USDA’s September WASDE report, the trade was focused on yield cuts, which had also been the principal output of various private sector c...

wheat

WASDE Soybeans - Sep 2025

Soybeans – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for higher U.S. ending stocks to 300 million bushels, up 10 million from last month. The U.S. seasonal average soybean price is forecast at $10.00 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal and the soybean oil prices are unchanged...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Sep 2025

Corn – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for greater supplies, larger exports, and a slight reduction in ending stocks by 7 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The seasonal average price for corn received by producers is unchanged at $3.90 per bushel. World corn ending stocks are down 1.1 mill...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Sep 2025

Wheat - USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for U.S. total wheat exports to increase by 25 million bushels to 900 million. That reduced ending stocks by 25 million bushels to 844 million - slightly less than last year. The projected 2025/26 seasonal average farm price is reduced by $0.20 per bushe...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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