Overnight futures trading found prices around unchanged or slightly firmer except for wheat futures, which marched off to double-digit gains. There is more talk of deteriorating conditions for winter wheat in southern Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan with overly dry conditions also moving into Poland and Germany. Some Russian crop scouts are now viewing Russia’s wheat production as no better than 70 MMT, down 15 MMT from last year’s record harvest and 2 MMT below USDA’s May projection. Some of the decrease will be offset by the large carryover from 2017/18. To what extent the reduced Russian crop might actually result in increased export demand for U.S. wheat is an open question, but noncommercial wheat traders live on hope...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...