Friday’s CBOT trade was driven by a combination of end-of-month profit taking, volatile macro-markets, slow export demand, and news of new African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreaks in China. The latter item sparked a 5 percent decline in Dalian soymeal futures, the market’s steepest decline in eight years. In turn, that pressured CBOT soymeal and soybeans and sparked a broader selloff in ag commodities. Corn, soybeans, wheat, cattle, and hog futures all posted losses for the day. Funds are thought to have sold 14,000 contracts of soybeans, and 10,000 contracts of corn along with 8,500 contracts of wheat. Funds are thought to have also been modest net sellers in soymeal and soyoil. This week’s CFTC data shows that, through...
What You Need to Know Today: Markets got a surprise with a corn yield of 181.2 bushels/acre in the October WASDE, above the average estimate of 177.6 bushels/acre and up from USDA’s September estimate of 178.5 bushels/acre. Although stronger demand is expected to absorb some of the addit...
Key Takeaways: On Friday afternoon, President Trump announced that Russia will “immediately supply over 300,000 Tons of Diesel Fuel” to the United States. The deal, typical of this administration, is light on details but promises an additional 500,000 tons in November and 1 m...
The USDA has lowered its 2026 red meat production forecasts slightly while forecasting a slight increase in broiler production. Beef is now projected at 24.802 billion pounds, 75 million pounds less than in September. Cow slaughter is expected to be up; however, this will be offset by lower ste...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.