World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bearishness Envelops CBOT Trade

The CBOT was sharply lower on Monday with markets seeing continued pressure from Friday’s generally bearish WASDE, favorable Midwest weather trends, and gains in the U.S. dollar following the weekend assassination attempt on former President Trump. The assassination attempt obviously does not directly impact commodity markets, but the resulting increase in the likelihood of another Trump presidency does. Following the shooting, betting markets and political polls increased the odds that Trump will win the November election, which prompted traders to look at the 2016-2020 Trump administration for hints as to what it might mean again. For ag commodities, the thoughts of a Trump presidency primarily mean a stronger U.S. dollar (though th...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Signals

There were lots of mixed pressures on the market today, and this week overall. Outside markets were key among them. Trading volume was modest today, except for meal, oil, and livestock. On the week, livestock and soyoil took losses, while fund long positions held up for soymeal.  While so...

Jobs Report and How the Fed Will See It

Today’s jobs report was highly anticipated as a key benchmark before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting later this month and expected to be a factor in the Fed’s decision of whether to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. As it happens, tod...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 23-29, 2024. Wheat:  Net sales of 340,000 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 36 percent from the previous week and 17 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 638,100 MT--a marketing-year high--were up 11 percent from the previo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Signals

There were lots of mixed pressures on the market today, and this week overall. Outside markets were key among them. Trading volume was modest today, except for meal, oil, and livestock. On the week, livestock and soyoil took losses, while fund long positions held up for soymeal.  While so...

Jobs Report and How the Fed Will See It

Today’s jobs report was highly anticipated as a key benchmark before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting later this month and expected to be a factor in the Fed’s decision of whether to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. As it happens, tod...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 23-29, 2024. Wheat:  Net sales of 340,000 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 36 percent from the previous week and 17 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 638,100 MT--a marketing-year high--were up 11 percent from the previo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.0625/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.67/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 24 Soybeans closed at $10.05/bushel, down $0.185 from yesterday's close.  Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $324.4/short ton, down $2.1...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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