World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

The CBOT saw another day of pronounced weakness with expectations for larger global soybean and wheat production and stocks in 2025 weighing on values. Product demand in the soy complex has also been a huge negative factor recently with uncertainty over U.S. biofuels policy causing a sharp reduction in soyoil values. Fresh news remains somewhat light for the ag commodity markets, which of course is a bearish factor in its own right. Despite the lack of news, CBOT and broader markets are facing significant uncertainty as to trade policy with the Trump administration preparing to take office in January. Markets are increasingly warry about Trump’s ag trade policy after the trade war with China in 2018 caused a sharp reduction in soybean expor...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: USDA Surprises; Market Marches Its Own Beat

While there was some red flashing early in today’s trading session, by the close all major grain and oilseed contracts were in the green. Ahead of USDA’s September WASDE report, the trade was focused on yield cuts, which had also been the principal output of various private sector c...

wheat

WASDE Soybeans - Sep 2025

Soybeans – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for higher U.S. ending stocks to 300 million bushels, up 10 million from last month. The U.S. seasonal average soybean price is forecast at $10.00 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal and the soybean oil prices are unchanged...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Sep 2025

Corn – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for greater supplies, larger exports, and a slight reduction in ending stocks by 7 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The seasonal average price for corn received by producers is unchanged at $3.90 per bushel. World corn ending stocks are down 1.1 mill...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: USDA Surprises; Market Marches Its Own Beat

While there was some red flashing early in today’s trading session, by the close all major grain and oilseed contracts were in the green. Ahead of USDA’s September WASDE report, the trade was focused on yield cuts, which had also been the principal output of various private sector c...

wheat

WASDE Soybeans - Sep 2025

Soybeans – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for higher U.S. ending stocks to 300 million bushels, up 10 million from last month. The U.S. seasonal average soybean price is forecast at $10.00 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal and the soybean oil prices are unchanged...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Sep 2025

Corn – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for greater supplies, larger exports, and a slight reduction in ending stocks by 7 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The seasonal average price for corn received by producers is unchanged at $3.90 per bushel. World corn ending stocks are down 1.1 mill...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Sep 2025

Wheat - USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for U.S. total wheat exports to increase by 25 million bushels to 900 million. That reduced ending stocks by 25 million bushels to 844 million - slightly less than last year. The projected 2025/26 seasonal average farm price is reduced by $0.20 per bushe...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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