World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bullish End-of-Year Action in Soy Complex, Wheat

The CBOT posted another day of surprising between-holiday trade with multiple markets seeing above-average volume and scoring important technical developments. The major move for Friday’s trade came from soymeal, which boasted an upside breakout from a bull flag on the charts. The market quickly scored new contract highs and helped pull the soybean market higher as well. For soybeans, bull spreading and commercial participation was surprisingly active. The catalyst for the soymeal and soybean market’s rallies was updated (i.e., worsening) crop condition reports from Argentina.  The corn market didn’t do much to end the week other than tentatively test trendline resistance but wheat futures fully reversed Thursday&rsq...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Firmer Trade Yields Few Gains; Cattle Continue Rally

The CBOT saw firmer trade on Tuesday, but that strength failed to develop into anything really meaningful on the charts. The soy complex saw the most widespread strength on the heels of a record-breaking U.S. crush in November, as reported by the USDA on Monday, and from Tuesday’s rally in crud...

Reorganizing in Congress – Potential Moves Among Aggies

Congress will return to Washington this week to kick off the post-election lame duck session of Congress. The docket is busy with only 12 joint legislative days left and government funding set to expire on 20 December. And the Farm Bill is set to expire on 31 December unless an extension can be...

Trade Abusers; Working Class Appeals; Healthy Elites

Trade AbusersThe West blames China for over-production but the global narrative is that China has embraced global trade and it is the U.S. that has become isolationist. This framing is disputed by Stewart Paterson at the Singapore-based Hinrich Foundation. He notes that trade flows show the opp...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Firmer Trade Yields Few Gains; Cattle Continue Rally

The CBOT saw firmer trade on Tuesday, but that strength failed to develop into anything really meaningful on the charts. The soy complex saw the most widespread strength on the heels of a record-breaking U.S. crush in November, as reported by the USDA on Monday, and from Tuesday’s rally in crud...

Reorganizing in Congress – Potential Moves Among Aggies

Congress will return to Washington this week to kick off the post-election lame duck session of Congress. The docket is busy with only 12 joint legislative days left and government funding set to expire on 20 December. And the Farm Bill is set to expire on 31 December unless an extension can be...

Trade Abusers; Working Class Appeals; Healthy Elites

Trade AbusersThe West blames China for over-production but the global narrative is that China has embraced global trade and it is the U.S. that has become isolationist. This framing is disputed by Stewart Paterson at the Singapore-based Hinrich Foundation. He notes that trade flows show the opp...

God Given Right

Expectations and reality do not always match. This is especially true in rich democracies where citizens expect their voices to be heard, or else. This dynamic works most of the time, for most people, but not always with rational results. German statistician Ernst Engel noted that what people s...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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