World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Rest Amid Quiet Headlines but Weather Minimizes Downside Potential

The CBOT was mixed to close a week that has generally featured quiet or range-bound trade (except the soyoil market) with traders seemingly weighing their long-term outlooks amid conflicting weather and production signals. Wheat was lower on Friday with pressure coming from larger-than-expected crop tour results in Kansas and from improvements in the Black Sea weather over the next two weeks. Corn futures largely followed wheat into the red with some light fund selling on a favorable weekend planting progress outlook. The soy complex, however, turned higher with soyoil posting its highest close of the week and erasing the losses that came earlier this week from disappointing policy news. Funds were slight net sellers in the grains and net b...

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USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s recent strikes against Ukraine and poor progress in peace talks between the two countries in Istanbul have added “war risk” premia back into several markets, including wheat.  Farmers in Spain and France were protesting, again, agricultural im...

USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s recent strikes against Ukraine and poor progress in peace talks between the two countries in Istanbul have added “war risk” premia back into several markets, including wheat.  Farmers in Spain and France were protesting, again, agricultural im...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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