World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls as Inflation and U.S. Dollar Rise

Macroeconomic trade largely defined price action in the ag markets on Tuesday as higher-than-expected CPI inflation spooked markets. The U.S. CPI came in above expectations at 3.1 percent, which sent the U.S. dollar index sharply higher as it implies the Fed will have to keep interest rates higher for longer. For commodity traders, the big implication from the CPI numbers is that the U.S. dollar is likely to remain higher for longer, which will pressure U.S. grain (and meat) exports. That dynamic was on display Tuesday as wheat futures – a commodity among the most sensitive to the U.S. dollar – fell to new contract lows. Funds were net sellers for the day across wheat, soybeans, soymeal, and the livestock contracts but were mode...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Friday and an Upward Bound Week

If yesterday’s trading looked like uncertainty ultimately succumbing to the bulls, today’s trading opened with the bears fully in charge. Contracts opened lower and mostly stayed that way until late morning when there appeared to be an epiphany with the bulls and they took charge. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5725/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.7/short ton, down $1.4 fro...

Beyond the Report Headlines: Measuring Trump’s Effects

The BLS released the employment report this morning indicating that the U.S. added 139,000 jobs in May, down slightly from April’s revised 147,000, but slightly above pre-report forecasts of 126,000. However, payrolls were revised downward an unusually large 95,000 for the prior two month...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Friday and an Upward Bound Week

If yesterday’s trading looked like uncertainty ultimately succumbing to the bulls, today’s trading opened with the bears fully in charge. Contracts opened lower and mostly stayed that way until late morning when there appeared to be an epiphany with the bulls and they took charge. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5725/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.7/short ton, down $1.4 fro...

Beyond the Report Headlines: Measuring Trump’s Effects

The BLS released the employment report this morning indicating that the U.S. added 139,000 jobs in May, down slightly from April’s revised 147,000, but slightly above pre-report forecasts of 126,000. However, payrolls were revised downward an unusually large 95,000 for the prior two month...

livestock

Even After Recent Market Gains, Hog and Pork Outlook Remains Rosy

Anyone following the hog and pork markets recently has seen the volatility that preceded the recent surge to new contract highs, and the lack of consensus in the industry’s outlook. The USDA will issue their quarterly Hogs and Pigs report at the end of June, which will help inform the ind...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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