Friday’s CBOT trade featured a late-week rally with wheat leading the way as traders now seem to believe that the April rains in the Southern Plains were insufficient to significantly benefit the HRW crop. KCBT futures posted 30+ cent gains for the day and corn and soybeans followed through with ample technical buying in their own right. Funds were net buyers for the day and covered some of the short positions they’ve recently built or expanded in the major ag products. The May WASDE next Friday will now be the market’s primary focus with the report expected to be bearish new crop corn and soybeans (and likely old crop corn too) while being bullish new crop wheat. The weekly CFTC report was in-line with expectations...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
What You Need to Know Today: Markets got a surprise with a corn yield of 181.2 bushels/acre in the October WASDE, above the average estimate of 177.6 bushels/acre and up from USDA’s September estimate of 178.5 bushels/acre. Although stronger demand is expected to absorb some of the addit...
Key Takeaways: On Friday afternoon, President Trump announced that Russia will “immediately supply over 300,000 Tons of Diesel Fuel” to the United States. The deal, typical of this administration, is light on details but promises an additional 500,000 tons in November and 1 m...
The USDA has lowered its 2026 red meat production forecasts slightly while forecasting a slight increase in broiler production. Beef is now projected at 24.802 billion pounds, 75 million pounds less than in September. Cow slaughter is expected to be up; however, this will be offset by lower ste...