The CBOT seems to be locked in a game of bearish limbo with markets battling to see which can bend itself beneath the lowest levels of technical support. Grains, oilseeds, and the entire livestock complex finished lower on Wednesday with soymeal being the only major ag market to see higher trade. Technical trade and fund positioning remain the primary drivers of the ongoing selloff. So much so that the day’s weakness in wheat occurred despite further reductions in Russian crop estimates. Similarly, corn futures are on the defensive despite ample talk of U.S. acres not getting seeded this year amid wet conditions. Markets are approaching key support levels, but similar technical features to date have failed to stop the current s...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: There has already been a strong run of flash soybean sales announcements in recent weeks, but more than 1.4 MMT reported this morning is an exceptionally large single-day total with major implications for the market. If the sales to China and unknown destinations w...
On Friday, at 6:57 AM, President Donald Trump announced, via a social media post, a 90-day window during which up to 300,000 metric tons of product for ground beef could be imported outside of tariff-rate quotas—a move aimed at bringing down costs for American consumers. This is the secon...