World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Consolidation Continues as CBOT Contemplates Record Fund Short Position

Tuesday’s mood at the CBOT seemed to be one primarily of consolidation and mild short covering. Corn futures extended Monday’s key reversal but failed to make much upside progress while the soybean market settled lower after posting 16-cent gains in early trade. Wheat futures pushed higher but did little on the charts, other than prove that they are still consolidating.  The market’s big focus remains on funds’ massive short position and how that will affect price action going forward. The two schools of thought are that the short position will keep markets on the defensive as managed money traders are clearly happy with this position and will add to it. The other thought is that this makes them vulnerable to a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Negative Icing on a Bearish Cake; Cattle Rally as NWS Found 70 Miles from Border

The CBOT was sharply lower to start the week as markets had a negative reaction to surprising policy developments from South America. Argentina’s government announced a zero-export tax policy on grains through 31 October in an attempt to boost domestic reserves of U.S. dollars (for detail...

Convenience over Causation; Rules and Convenience; GI’s in America; Transatlantic Work Views

Convenience over Causation A months’ long commitment to delivering in September led to today’s announcement by chemo-phobe RFK, Jr. that, “I think we found an answer to autism” As previously noted, the Trump Administration’s Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) report...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1075/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.11/bushel, down $0.145 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $280.1/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Negative Icing on a Bearish Cake; Cattle Rally as NWS Found 70 Miles from Border

The CBOT was sharply lower to start the week as markets had a negative reaction to surprising policy developments from South America. Argentina’s government announced a zero-export tax policy on grains through 31 October in an attempt to boost domestic reserves of U.S. dollars (for detail...

Convenience over Causation; Rules and Convenience; GI’s in America; Transatlantic Work Views

Convenience over Causation A months’ long commitment to delivering in September led to today’s announcement by chemo-phobe RFK, Jr. that, “I think we found an answer to autism” As previously noted, the Trump Administration’s Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) report...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1075/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.11/bushel, down $0.145 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $280.1/short ton, down $...

livestock

Plan to Rebuild Beef Cattle Supply is Coming This Week

Yesterday, USDA released a statement confirming the detection of New World Screwworm (NSW) in in Sabinas Hidalgo, located in the Mexican state of Nuevo León, less than 70 miles from the U.S.-Mexico border.  The case was confirmed by the National Service of Agro-Alimentary Health, Sa...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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