World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Post Half-Hearted Reversals; Hogs Extend Nascent Rally

Tuesday’s CBOT trade featured gains in corn and the soy complex with funds casually covering some of their massive short positions amid oversold technical conditions and following Monday’s damage-inducing storms across the Midwest. Conviction was lacking, however, and the day’s trade had feelings of impermanence with bears still holding the upper hand. Wheat futures drifted lower again and carved out fresh contract lows, though the day’s trade had a bit more of a two-sided feel with the firmness in corn futures. Perhaps the most exciting trading for the day came in the hog markets where beleaguered and deeply oversold futures rallied sharply to extend last week’s technical reversal. Fresh fundamental news was d...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

Chicago futures remained hopeful in the wake of this week’s U.S.-China trade agreement. Bears are quick to note that an agreement and sales are two very different animals. U.S. soybean exporters will still face a 13 percent tariff into China and there are no clear penalties should China m...

soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

Chicago futures remained hopeful in the wake of this week’s U.S.-China trade agreement. Bears are quick to note that an agreement and sales are two very different animals. U.S. soybean exporters will still face a 13 percent tariff into China and there are no clear penalties should China m...

soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

livestock

Winner, Winner Chicken Dinner

Inflation pressure has added tailwinds for the chicken sector. Food service operators have experienced lower traffic and have therefore resorted to promotions to attract customers, mainly featuring chicken. Restaurant traffic declined 2 percent in September, and 30 percent of commercial foodser...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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