World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Declining Crop Conditions Spark CBOT Rally; WPI Corn and Soybean S&D Update

Yesterday’s Crop Conditions report featured worse-than-expected declines and sparked an overnight and early morning rally in CBOT futures Tuesday. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all jumped out to strong gains early in the day, but those gains faded through the afternoon for corn and wheat, with the latter commodity ending mostly lower for the day. Funds are still not interested in chasing rallies after having just exited a massive long position and with the general trend of world grain markets being that of moving towards more ample supplies. Production and yield risks certainly exist here in the U.S., Europe, and elsewhere, but the situation is nowhere near as tight as it once was. Consequently, funds and commercials seem to be content st...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn The corn harvest is beginning to gain momentum in Argentina. So far, 7 percent of the area has been harvested, with the core corn region already reaching 10 percent. Yields remain heterogeneous. Some areas are performing well above average, while others are showing the impact of late-seaso...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds further expanding long positions across the major ag futures contracts for the seventh straight week. Funds added 125,000 contracts (27 percent) to their all-ags net long position, with buying in soybeans and corn primarily responsible for the move. ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War, Crude Oil Still Dominate

The geopolitics of war in Iran are said to now be eclipsing any market focus on next week’s USDA March WASDE report. Volumes were modest in today’s trading, but the message was nonetheless clear – shipping grain and inputs is getting complicated.  Notably, the ratio of De...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn The corn harvest is beginning to gain momentum in Argentina. So far, 7 percent of the area has been harvested, with the core corn region already reaching 10 percent. Yields remain heterogeneous. Some areas are performing well above average, while others are showing the impact of late-seaso...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed funds further expanding long positions across the major ag futures contracts for the seventh straight week. Funds added 125,000 contracts (27 percent) to their all-ags net long position, with buying in soybeans and corn primarily responsible for the move. ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War, Crude Oil Still Dominate

The geopolitics of war in Iran are said to now be eclipsing any market focus on next week’s USDA March WASDE report. Volumes were modest in today’s trading, but the message was nonetheless clear – shipping grain and inputs is getting complicated.  Notably, the ratio of De...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.605/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $6.1675/bushel, up $0.33 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $12.0075/bushel, up $0.215 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.2/short ton, up $7.9 from ye...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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