Key Market Developments Today’s theme was geopolitics and economics. Tension between the United States and Iran escalated despite reports of an “understanding” reached during Tuesday’s nuclear discussions. Iran temporarily shut parts of the Strait of Hormuz during military drills, and state-linked media reported upcoming Iran–Russia naval exercises in the Sea of Oman and northern Indian Ocean. A U.S. official indicated Iran will present more detailed proposals within two weeks, though Iran’s foreign minister cautioned that this does not signal an imminent deal. One political consultancy now estimates a 65 percent probability of U.S. military strikes by late April. Markets reacted immediately. Crude oil su...