World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lack of Rain Driving Out Shorts

Note: WPI chief market analyst Matt Herrington is away on travel until 20 June.  Agricultural commodity futures continue to be driven by the El Nino advisory and its associated weather. While some parts of the Corn Belt received some moisture this past weekend, too many areas were missed. And there is nothing in the forecast to produce confidence that the drought in the Midwest will be broken anytime soon. The outlook calls for disturbances that will produce some moisture across key north central production areas, but not enough to be called a slam dunk.  U.S. Crop Progress ratings were released today and if USDA did not consider the disappointing precipitation over this past weekend, this is a crop in trouble. While crops are i...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3175/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.4875/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.33/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $309.2/short ton, up $1.3...

Who is Paying for U.S. Tariffs?

Over the course of 2025, the average tariff rate on U.S. imports increased from 2.6 percent at the beginning of the year to 13 percent by year-end. It then spiked in April and May, when tariffs on Chinese goods were raised by 125 percentage points, before being reversed by 115 percentage points...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Spring Acreage Outlook

Heading into the USDA’s annual Ag Outlook Forum (AOF) next week, there is heightened speculation and anticipation about what the 2026/27 crop outlook will be. WPI updated our acreage forecasting models to help clients know what to expect—most likely—from the upcoming AOF forec...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3175/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.4875/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $11.33/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $309.2/short ton, up $1.3...

Who is Paying for U.S. Tariffs?

Over the course of 2025, the average tariff rate on U.S. imports increased from 2.6 percent at the beginning of the year to 13 percent by year-end. It then spiked in April and May, when tariffs on Chinese goods were raised by 125 percentage points, before being reversed by 115 percentage points...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Spring Acreage Outlook

Heading into the USDA’s annual Ag Outlook Forum (AOF) next week, there is heightened speculation and anticipation about what the 2026/27 crop outlook will be. WPI updated our acreage forecasting models to help clients know what to expect—most likely—from the upcoming AOF forec...

Transportation and Export Report - 13 February 2026

U.S. grain transportation markets are slowly recovering from the shocks of bitter cold weather and low water levels on the Mississippi River System and from the surge in export demand. The latter is also causing strong rallies in ocean freight markets, particularly in the Atlantic basin. With g...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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