World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Market Gets a Bounce Ahead of Long Weekend

Commodity markets retraced some of the losses from Thursday, ending higher on Friday but not necessarily for the week. Corn is on a roll, nearing heights not seen in more than a year, but even cattle lost some of their bullish glow this week.  01172025MC_weeklychange.png 22.13 KBA key vector has been weather in South America, and that has not changed. Doubts about whether Argentina will receive salvation-level rains are increasing. Now added as a wildcard is the inauguration of Donald Trump as U.S. president on Monday. While he and Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly spoke today, no one is expecting a smooth ride ahead. Theoretically, he could get China to recommit to the agriculture purchases agreed to in 2020, but there will like...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

Chicago futures remained hopeful in the wake of this week’s U.S.-China trade agreement. Bears are quick to note that an agreement and sales are two very different animals. U.S. soybean exporters will still face a 13 percent tariff into China and there are no clear penalties should China m...

soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

Chicago futures remained hopeful in the wake of this week’s U.S.-China trade agreement. Bears are quick to note that an agreement and sales are two very different animals. U.S. soybean exporters will still face a 13 percent tariff into China and there are no clear penalties should China m...

soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

livestock

Winner, Winner Chicken Dinner

Inflation pressure has added tailwinds for the chicken sector. Food service operators have experienced lower traffic and have therefore resorted to promotions to attract customers, mainly featuring chicken. Restaurant traffic declined 2 percent in September, and 30 percent of commercial foodser...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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