USDA’s annual Outlook conference started today, and it held no surprises by affirming the likely outcome of the current corn/soybean price ratio and tighter overall farm income. 

Farmers will plant more corn, netting record production, causing ending stocks to grow and the price to fall. They will plant the fewest soybeans since 2020, stocks will fall, but prices will still drop due to larger global supplies. Wheat area will edge up, along with stocks, but most things will stay the same including price, which falls less than one percent. 

When added to President Trump’s renewed and expanded designation of import tariffs and a strong dollar, grain and oilseed markets continued their fall today. Today’s report i...