World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Not Pretty

Though they closed higher, volume was down in corn and soybeans and wheat shaved off some more excess value. The truth is there is just not much to move the market right now. The lower value of the dollar plus rising equities and oil provides some outside support but the fundamentals are stable. The bull market is fading, not disappearing, and speculative money continues to trickle out.  However, the Black Swan event could be right around the corner. The Saudi Arabian energy minister warned that the coming months could become more painful. It is already painful enough that a group of U.S. Congressional liberals proposed (and then withdrew) a request that the White House negotiate with Vladimir Putin. Russia has destroyed part of Ukrai...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 28 July – 1 August 2025 The harmonizing of July old crop and new crop pricing is coming to an end. As harvesting continues with a delay, prices are volatile depending on the region. Delayed harvest often causes bullish sentiments in some individual regions but press...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pushing Toward New Lows on Bearish Supplies

There was higher volume today trading corn and hogs, and lower volume in the soy complex and SRW.  New contract lows were printed for corn, SRW, and HRW.  Yesterday’s crop progress report reflected potentially stellar crops and yield estimates from private analysts continue to p...

Infuriating Ingratiation; Soul Crushing Jobs

Infuriating Ingratiation Based on European press reports, the terms of the transatlantic trade deal (see Tariffs as a Tax) are less objectionable than the “humiliation” of “submission” to the U.S. But that is just Europe being its usual “bantie rooster.” ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 28 July – 1 August 2025 The harmonizing of July old crop and new crop pricing is coming to an end. As harvesting continues with a delay, prices are volatile depending on the region. Delayed harvest often causes bullish sentiments in some individual regions but press...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pushing Toward New Lows on Bearish Supplies

There was higher volume today trading corn and hogs, and lower volume in the soy complex and SRW.  New contract lows were printed for corn, SRW, and HRW.  Yesterday’s crop progress report reflected potentially stellar crops and yield estimates from private analysts continue to p...

Infuriating Ingratiation; Soul Crushing Jobs

Infuriating Ingratiation Based on European press reports, the terms of the transatlantic trade deal (see Tariffs as a Tax) are less objectionable than the “humiliation” of “submission” to the U.S. But that is just Europe being its usual “bantie rooster.” ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.02/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.0825/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.9075/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284.9/short ton, down $0.1...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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