World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pelosi’s Taiwan Visit Unnerves Grain Markets

U.S. House Majority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s surprise visit to Taiwan kept the CBOT on the defensive Tuesday amid a lack of other fundamental news. China has not received the Speaker’s visit well at all and even issued a thinly veiled threat that it might shoot down her plane. That didn’t happen, fortunately, but China did respond with a military show of force. The concern for the grain markets, of course, is that a political battle – whether or not involving military assets – between the U.S. and China will likely involve the grain trade. Then there’s the broader issue that markets simply don’t like uncertainties and traders typically adopt a “sell first, ask questions later” attitude in m...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bullish Whopper

This last trading day of the first full trading week of 2025 came in like a whimper and went out with a bang. The trading day started with a notably sub-par Export Sales report from USDA. New commitments for wheat, corn, and soybeans all hit a marketing year low for export sales last week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estima...

biofuel

45Z Tax Credit Preliminary Guidance Released; No GREET Model Yet

As WPI reported on 6 December, the Treasury Department had promised that the compliance regulations for the 45Z Clean Fuels Production credit would be released by the end of the Biden Administration, implying no later than 19 January, the day before President-elect Trump’s inauguration.  T...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bullish Whopper

This last trading day of the first full trading week of 2025 came in like a whimper and went out with a bang. The trading day started with a notably sub-par Export Sales report from USDA. New commitments for wheat, corn, and soybeans all hit a marketing year low for export sales last week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estima...

biofuel

45Z Tax Credit Preliminary Guidance Released; No GREET Model Yet

As WPI reported on 6 December, the Treasury Department had promised that the compliance regulations for the 45Z Clean Fuels Production credit would be released by the end of the Biden Administration, implying no later than 19 January, the day before President-elect Trump’s inauguration.  T...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.705/bushel, up $0.145 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3075/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, up $0.2625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $298.3/short ton, down $1 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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