Weaker technical conditions, limit-down soyoil, and more rains for the Dakotas conspired to push the CBOT sharply lower on Friday. Thursday’s WASDE should have been supportive for corn, but overnight rains in the northern Plains gave bulls pains. Today concludes the index fund roll, which will support old crop futures next week. WPI reminds clients how sharply May 2021 futures rallied heading into their expiration with cash prices at a huge premium and short sellers aggressively covering their positions. The fundamental outlook isn’t quite as bullish now (or has at least been more fully priced into the market) but plenty of potential still exists for a rally in July futures. The PNW, northern Plains, and parts of western...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Takeaways: The CME Group is launching new 90 percent Lean Beef and 50 percent Lean Beef futures and options contracts in July. There are five key factors that must be present in physical markets and futures contract specifications for futures contracts to become successful. The two l...
Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2026 The new marketing season has officially begun in Russia, although bearish sentiment has been concentrated in the southern regions closest to the Black Sea ports, where export demand has been weakest. Delays in grain deliveries to inland elevators have...