World Perspectives
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Market Commentary: Tariffs, Inflation, Production, and a Higher Market

The market is facing many knowns and unknowns. How President Trump’s tariff war will proceed is top among the unknowns, though it cannot be good until it is over. Now the President is threatening 200 percent tariffs on EU wines and liquor if Brussels does not drop its retaliatory duty on whisky. This is going to heat up fast.  And it isn’t just U.S. agriculture feeling the impact. Europe’s FEFAC fears that the EU’s retaliatory tariffs on American grain and oilseeds will increase feed costs. Becoming clearer is the scale of South America’s production. The Rosario Grains Exchange adjusted its estimates for Argentine corn and soybeans lower, but Conab increased its outlook for Brazil’s production. Back...

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feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Dec 2025

USDA’s Dec 2025 estimate is that the 2025/26 season-average corn price received by U.S. farmers will remain at $4.00 per bushel. Global corn stocks are down 2.2 million to 279.2 million tons...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Dec 2025

USDA’s Dec 2025 estimate is that the 2025/26 season-average wheat price received by U.S. farmers will remain at $5.00 per bushel. Global wheat stocks rose 3.4 million tons to 274.9 million, mainly on increases for several exporting countries...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Dec 2025

USDA’s Dec 2025 estimate is that the 2025/26 season-average prices are presently unchanged for U.S. soybeans at $10.50 per bushel, for soymeal at $300 per short-ton, and for soyoil at 53 cents per pound.  Global soybean ending stocks are increased 0.4 million tons to 122.4 million, m...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn - Dec 2025

USDA’s Dec 2025 estimate is that the 2025/26 season-average corn price received by U.S. farmers will remain at $4.00 per bushel. Global corn stocks are down 2.2 million to 279.2 million tons...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Dec 2025

USDA’s Dec 2025 estimate is that the 2025/26 season-average wheat price received by U.S. farmers will remain at $5.00 per bushel. Global wheat stocks rose 3.4 million tons to 274.9 million, mainly on increases for several exporting countries...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Dec 2025

USDA’s Dec 2025 estimate is that the 2025/26 season-average prices are presently unchanged for U.S. soybeans at $10.50 per bushel, for soymeal at $300 per short-ton, and for soyoil at 53 cents per pound.  Global soybean ending stocks are increased 0.4 million tons to 122.4 million, m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Exports Hit Record; WASDE Little Changed for Soy, Wheat

The CBOT wasn’t expecting much from the December WASDE report and USDA delivered fully on those expectations. The headline numbers were the increase of corn exports to a record-breaking 3.2 Bbu and a commensurate reduction in ending stocks. Soybeans and wheat were left out of the balance...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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