World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: WASDE Bearish Wheat, Neutral Corn; Soybeans Fall on Demand Worries

CBOT futures had a relatively muted reaction to the USDA’s July WASDE as large U.S. and global new crop ending stocks damped much of any potential volatility. The biggest theme was larger U.S. and world wheat supplies and stocks while the outlook for corn saw far more muted changes. Soybeans saw more bearish numbers from the WASDE with world and major exporters’ stocks rising – a trend all the more worrisome given the slow pace of U.S.2024/25 export sales so far. The report was sufficient to encourage more short selling by noncommercials in the wheat and soybean markets and to spark a little short-covering in corn, as the worst of the bearish news is now priced into futures.  Perhaps the biggest news of the day is wh...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.48/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.8725/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $5 f...

Trump Announces Farm Bailout

President Trump announced a total of $12 billion in funding for an ag agriculture bailout program yesterday. The funds will come from tariff revenue collected from the new tariffs.   The package includes $11 billion in one-time payments to crop farmers through a new USDA program, the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region North African and Middle East wheat, corn, and barley importers will see more competition from Russian grains as Russia has reduced its grain export taxes to zero. Russia hopes to increase grain exports which are down by 13.3 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.48/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.8725/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $301.3/short ton, down $5 f...

Trump Announces Farm Bailout

President Trump announced a total of $12 billion in funding for an ag agriculture bailout program yesterday. The funds will come from tariff revenue collected from the new tariffs.   The package includes $11 billion in one-time payments to crop farmers through a new USDA program, the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region North African and Middle East wheat, corn, and barley importers will see more competition from Russian grains as Russia has reduced its grain export taxes to zero. Russia hopes to increase grain exports which are down by 13.3 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The following tables/charts reflect the CFTC's latest data release, which covers traders' positions through 21 October. The data are, obviously, delayed due to the 40-day 2025 U.S. government shutdown. While the positions below likely have little influence on today's markets or fund positioning...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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