World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: WASDE Bearish Wheat, Neutral Corn; Soybeans Fall on Demand Worries

CBOT futures had a relatively muted reaction to the USDA’s July WASDE as large U.S. and global new crop ending stocks damped much of any potential volatility. The biggest theme was larger U.S. and world wheat supplies and stocks while the outlook for corn saw far more muted changes. Soybeans saw more bearish numbers from the WASDE with world and major exporters’ stocks rising – a trend all the more worrisome given the slow pace of U.S.2024/25 export sales so far. The report was sufficient to encourage more short selling by noncommercials in the wheat and soybean markets and to spark a little short-covering in corn, as the worst of the bearish news is now priced into futures.  Perhaps the biggest news of the day is wh...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.745/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6525/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.6/short ton, up $3.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fundamentals Replace War Trading

Geopolitics has proven that it beats weather as a volatility driver, but agricultural markets and financials returned to fundamentals today. The truce/non-truce/truce had its influences, with the soy sector following oil higher, but wheat traded down on stocks reports while corn buyers’ e...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Red Meat Production Down, Broilers Up

USDA released the April WASDE today with new 2026 meat production forecasts, changed from the March release. Beef is now projected at 25.79 billion pounds, down 20 million from March, mostly on lower first-half steer and heifer slaughter. Higher cow slaughter will partially offset the reduced...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.745/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.6525/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $317.6/short ton, up $3.5...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fundamentals Replace War Trading

Geopolitics has proven that it beats weather as a volatility driver, but agricultural markets and financials returned to fundamentals today. The truce/non-truce/truce had its influences, with the soy sector following oil higher, but wheat traded down on stocks reports while corn buyers’ e...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Red Meat Production Down, Broilers Up

USDA released the April WASDE today with new 2026 meat production forecasts, changed from the March release. Beef is now projected at 25.79 billion pounds, down 20 million from March, mostly on lower first-half steer and heifer slaughter. Higher cow slaughter will partially offset the reduced...

biofuel energy

Quick Hits: Ethanol and Biodiesel Margins Update

Ethanol Ethanol production margins continue to experience a counter-seasonal surge, with the energy market rally driving the bulk of the move. Prior to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, U.S. ethanol margins were already trending above year-ago levels by $0.10-0.20/gallon...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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