World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Hits New Contract Lows; Corn, Soybeans Fall on Record Yields

The CBOT was sharply lower on Thursday with the Canadian rail workers strike and forecasts of record-breaking yields emboldening bears. Wheat futures scored new contract lows amid signs of weaker demand while corn and soybeans saw threats primarily from the ever-expanding production outlook for 2024. Funds were net sellers again for the day with the yield data offering more reasons to push the risk envelope on the short side. The day’s trade merely confirms the bearish outlook for corn and soybeans while for wheat it shifts the near-term outlook from neutral back to bearish.  The headline of the day was that Canada’s two biggest railways, Canadian National and the Canadian Pacific Kansas City officially locked out 9,000 un...

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livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for March will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.5 million head. The pre-report estimates were spl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please see the attached summary sheet - page one: ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Pressure and Energy Strength Lift Grain Markets

Key Market Developments Macro: Reinforcing a Higher-for-Longer Environment Today’s inflation data reinforced what markets were already beginning to price in: a more persistent, “higher for longer” rate environment. U.S. producer prices came in above expectations, with headline...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for March will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.5 million head. The pre-report estimates were spl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please see the attached summary sheet - page one: ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Pressure and Energy Strength Lift Grain Markets

Key Market Developments Macro: Reinforcing a Higher-for-Longer Environment Today’s inflation data reinforced what markets were already beginning to price in: a more persistent, “higher for longer” rate environment. U.S. producer prices came in above expectations, with headline...

Great Timing; Farm Skeptics; War’s Impact; Thursday’s Tumults

Great Timing The workers’ union at the JBS meatpacking plant in Greeley, Colorado, is on strike. The union is demanding more pay for its members, of course, and they want the company to pay for gloves. Given the shortage of cattle, there is overcapacity in cattle slaughter, and JBS has be...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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