The CBOT was mixed on Tuesday with corn and the soy complex finding pressure after Monday’s Crop Progress report reflected better-than-expected planting progress. That reduced concerns about late plantings negatively impacting yields or, for soybeans, unplanted corn acres being switched to the oilseed. Wheat, in contrast, continued its rally after the Russian 2024 wheat crop was revised lower once again. The weather and production issues in the world’s largest wheat exporter are tightening the world wheat balance sheet and futures are highly sensitive to headlines right now. Funds were net buyers in wheat futures again and expanded longs there by 6-7,000 contracts while being slight net sellers in corn and the soy complex. The o...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: Markets got a surprise with a corn yield of 181.2 bushels/acre in the October WASDE, above the average estimate of 177.6 bushels/acre and up from USDA’s September estimate of 178.5 bushels/acre. Although stronger demand is expected to absorb some of the addit...
Key Takeaways: On Friday afternoon, President Trump announced that Russia will “immediately supply over 300,000 Tons of Diesel Fuel” to the United States. The deal, typical of this administration, is light on details but promises an additional 500,000 tons in November and 1 m...
The USDA has lowered its 2026 red meat production forecasts slightly while forecasting a slight increase in broiler production. Beef is now projected at 24.802 billion pounds, 75 million pounds less than in September. Cow slaughter is expected to be up; however, this will be offset by lower ste...