Traders adopted a “risk-on” mentality the day after the November WASDE with wheat playing the role of the upside leader. While soybeans received a surprise bullish jolt yesterday from the WASDE, today was all about wheat and the reminder that world supplies remain tight this year. Funds were net buyers across the major ag products Wednesday, securing 12,000 contracts of corn, 9,000 contracts of wheat, and 4,000 contracts of soybeans. Managed money funds and index funds both seems to be adding commodity exposure amid a strengthening inflation outlook, which will help put a floor under the CBOT heading into the New Year. The Brazilian government is expected to decide Thursday whether it will approve drought-tolerant G...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: There has already been a strong run of flash soybean sales announcements in recent weeks, but more than 1.4 MMT reported this morning is an exceptionally large single-day total with major implications for the market. If the sales to China and unknown destinations w...
On Friday, at 6:57 AM, President Donald Trump announced, via a social media post, a 90-day window during which up to 300,000 metric tons of product for ground beef could be imported outside of tariff-rate quotas—a move aimed at bringing down costs for American consumers. This is the secon...