World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Still Leads CBOT Rally; Frost/Freeze Threatens Russian Wheat Crop

In what has become a common refrain this year, wheat futures were again the upside leader in Monday’s CBOT trade as markets are increasingly concerned about Northern Hemisphere weather. Monday’s trade was seemingly primarily focused on the dryness and recent frost/freeze events in central/southern Russia that are paring back hopes for the country’s wheat crop. Those concerns are in addition to those of rainy conditions in western Europe and Canada as well as – to a lesser degree – the U.S. SRW-growing region. There is ample uncertainty as to what wheat yields will look like this year given the weather challenges and there is a good probability futures have already overshot where cash markets will be at the end...

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USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s recent strikes against Ukraine and poor progress in peace talks between the two countries in Istanbul have added “war risk” premia back into several markets, including wheat.  Farmers in Spain and France were protesting, again, agricultural im...

USDA Trade Estimates Report Comes Under Scrutiny

USDA’s delay of its quarterly agricultural trade report, and exclusion of its typical explanatory text, raised concerns because the moves raised questions about the objectivity of the data. The bottom line is that the trade is uneasy about USDA statistics now. USDA data is considered a go...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s recent strikes against Ukraine and poor progress in peace talks between the two countries in Istanbul have added “war risk” premia back into several markets, including wheat.  Farmers in Spain and France were protesting, again, agricultural im...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

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