Grain and soy markets are well into the waiting game for Friday’s USDA reports, and this shows up in the form of light volume and limited price action that was apparent again during overnight trade. However, a few trends persist. Grain prices continue to gain against soybeans, and soyoil continues to gain against soymeal. The grain versus soybean trend seems to assume another large South American soybean crop. This would likely be vulnerable if perceptions of weather-reduced soybean production develop. The soyoil versus soymeal trend reflects the expected larger draw on U.S. soyoil supplies as domestic biodiesel production expands to replace imports in meeting Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) requirements. While more stand-alone, that so...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
The corn and soy complex closed higher, with the wheat market mixed, as winter wheat closed up but spring wheat and livestock ended lower. Part of the strength for corn and soybeans may have been a weather premium, as crop planting has started out fast but warm weather has been slow to develop...
Real GDP grew at a 2 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2026, slightly below the consensus expectation of 2.3 percent but above the 0.5 percent growth in Q4 2025. The GDP number matches the average annualized pace of growth since the peak back in late 2007, right before the Financial P...
Reflect for a moment on what you eat. There is a lot of advice out there in the ether about what you should eat, but really, what do you currently eat and how much? The good people at the USDA have some data for you, to help you answer that question. USDA says that we eat quite a bit of meat. L...