Soybeans Market Update Last week China finally decided to buy more U.S. soybeans, purchasing approximately 2 MMT. The stocks were mainly from the Pacific Northwest (PNW), but there was some volume from the U.S. Gulf (USG). The trades were around 148/150 for PNW and 162/160N for USG, all performed as CNF. These were far more expensive than Brazilian offers for those positions. Brazil can sell July at +140N CNF China and June at +130N. Those prices are 20-30 cents cheaper than USG without considering any quality discount for the Gulf basis, which normally is around 5 cents/bushel. Brazil The Brazilian market was very slow last week as trading houses were waiting for China. Finally, China moved on June forward, leaving space for Brazil to...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.