World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat The rains that fell across Argentina last week covered a good part of the wheat-growing area, but the accumulated water was very little so soil moistures and the crop conditions continue to worsen. Only 14 percent of the wheat crop was rated good/excellent at the end of last week, down from 50 percent this time last year and 31 percent for the three-year average. The Rosario Grain Exchange is now discussing a crop that could be as small as 16.5 MMT, the lowest officially reported estimate so far, but one in-line with private analysts’ and traders’ thinking. There has been irreversible crop damage done in parts of Argentina, particularly the north, but current forecasts offer good rains for the first week of October. If th...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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