World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

“Zero Export Taxes”: The Controversy in Argentina Ahead of the elections, the Argentine government faced urgent pressure to secure hard currency and stabilize the exchange rate. To do so, it temporarily eliminated export duties on grains and by-products, effective until 31 October 2025, or until declared exports reached a value of $7 billion FOB - whichever came first. The quota was reached in just three days as exporters rushed to file sworn export declarations, which require foreign currency inflows within 72 hours but allow up to 360 days for shipment. Importantly, exporters had not purchased all the grain up front. Only about 30–40 percent of the volume was sourced immediately, helped by strong farmer selling during th...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The following tables/charts reflect the CFTC's latest data release, which covers traders' positions through 21 October. The data are, obviously, delayed due to the 40-day 2025 U.S. government shutdown. While the positions below likely have little influence on today's markets or fund positioning...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Factors, SA Weather and Exports Sink CBOT

The CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with traders reluctant to add bullish risk ahead of the USDA’s WASDE report on Tuesday. Too, technical weakness rapidly enveloping the soy complex spooked traders and prompted a more cautious approach. Favorable weather in Brazil, slow soybean s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4375/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3475/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.9375/bushel, down $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $306.3/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The following tables/charts reflect the CFTC's latest data release, which covers traders' positions through 21 October. The data are, obviously, delayed due to the 40-day 2025 U.S. government shutdown. While the positions below likely have little influence on today's markets or fund positioning...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Factors, SA Weather and Exports Sink CBOT

The CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with traders reluctant to add bullish risk ahead of the USDA’s WASDE report on Tuesday. Too, technical weakness rapidly enveloping the soy complex spooked traders and prompted a more cautious approach. Favorable weather in Brazil, slow soybean s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4375/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3475/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.9375/bushel, down $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $306.3/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest progressed by 11.5 percent during the week, lifting completion to 45 percent of the harvestable area. Fieldwork moved across the central agricultural region at a normal pace, with yields continuing to surpass historical averages. Most of the remaining standing area was either dryi...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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