World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Thanks to the recent good weather, Argentina’s wheat harvest keeps moving from north to south and total harvest has reached 15 percent of the area. Yields are coming in below expectations, so the Rosario Grain Exchange again reduced its crop estimation from 14 to 13.5 MMT. Rains arrived late for most of the area and some experienced significant frost during the growing season, so the effects on yields are still large and uncertain. WPI is projecting a 13.5-14.0 MMT crop, mainly trusting there will be good and above average yields in Buenos Aires Province. If yields in this area or part of it fail, then we will have to make further cuts in the total crop projection.  The most interesting development of the week was the vo...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed the effects of USDA’s bearish January WADSE as managed money traders expanded short positions across the ag space for the fourth straight week. Funds shed 99,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn accounting for 77,000 c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Rebound from WASDE Lows

By today’s close, losses in soybeans and wheat were down to fractions but corn could not fight its way back from USDA’s surprise bigger supply numbers in Monday’s WASDE. Volumes were generally light on this last day of trading ahead of Monday’s MLK holiday. Only the catt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $290/short ton, up $0.8 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed the effects of USDA’s bearish January WADSE as managed money traders expanded short positions across the ag space for the fourth straight week. Funds shed 99,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn accounting for 77,000 c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Rebound from WASDE Lows

By today’s close, losses in soybeans and wheat were down to fractions but corn could not fight its way back from USDA’s surprise bigger supply numbers in Monday’s WASDE. Volumes were generally light on this last day of trading ahead of Monday’s MLK holiday. Only the catt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $290/short ton, up $0.8 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility Continues with Corn Less Supported than Soybeans

The market continues to look for a floor following Monday’s WASDE report, with soybeans and soyoil finding terra firma on a bullish NOPA report that showed crush at a near-record level. Volume was generally subdued but skyrocketed in soyoil as traders sought to get a piece of the rising a...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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