WHEAT Lack of rains and soil moisture is still complicating wheat planting and the expected record crop may not happen. The Buenos Aires Grain exchange reduced their estimations from 6.8 to 6.5 Mha in the last month and the Rosario Grain Exchange from 7 to 6.6 Mha. The nucleus area will end with 8 percent year on year reduction. There are still more than 1 Mha to be planted and some areas are not yet suitable to for planting (mainly west of Buenos Aires and La Pampa). Crop condition is 60 percent fair and 18 percent poor. Almost 60 percent of the crop has poor moisture conditions although a little bit better than a week ago thanks to some small and insufficient rains (5-10 mm in some areas). Some weeks ago, we predicted old c...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.