Key Takeaways:

Mexico's drought intensified from 2022 to 2024, with critically low reservoir levels in Sinaloa driving a sharp decline in corn production. Sinaloa produces roughly one-quarter of Mexico's corn crop and is the country's leading supplier of white corn used for staple foods such as tortillas. Production losses forced Mexico to import white corn from the U.S., highlighting the severity of the drought's impact on domestic food supplies. Reduced yellow corn production also increased Mexico's reliance on U.S. feed grain imports. Strong Mexican demand helped push U.S. corn exports to a record high in 2024/25, offsetting part of the decline in Chinese purchases. U.S. corn exports are expected to be even higher in 2025/26, with stron...