World Perspectives
feed-grains

Minor Player, Minor Impact

World barley carryover stocks are forecast at 16.2 MMT in 2022/23, which would be the lowest since 1983/84 when the global population was 40 percent smaller than it is today. This historic tightness in barley availability is pulling U.S. barley prices higher, but not as much as would ordinarily be expected. In fact, the correlation of U.S. barley prices to global supply and demand is quite low. This is because the U.S. is a very minor participant in the global barley market. Only about 7 percent of U.S. production is exported, and that contributes a tiny one-half percent to the globally traded supply. This is in part because U.S. farmers find other crops to be more valuable in terms of net returns. This despite the higher loan rate for bar...

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Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins reversed sharply to -$17/head from $120/head the prior week, as rising fed cattle prices more than offset a modest decline in the Choice cutout. Fed cattle prices increased $12.92/cwt from the prior week while the cutout slipped $3.24/cwt, compressing gross margins and pushi...

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Market Commentary: The Long-Run Draws Near

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livestock

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Farmland Consolidation

Under the theory of economies of scale, the size of farms, like that of all industries, should increase over time due to improvements in productivity. Farmers themselves understand that the more land they farm, the greater their output and, thus, the larger their potential incomes. Government p...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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