WPI’s recent research suggests December corn futures are likely to see additional selling pressure while a bottom may be approaching for November soybean futures. The wheat market outlook is mixed with funds reportedly holding a small long position but more recent data suggesting they have sold a significant portion of that long. After yesterday’s amazingly bearish WASDE, nearly everyone in the market is asking, “What next?” Where does the market go from here? Although one can certainly quibble with USDA about the details of its fundamental analysis, history has shown the agency is adept at issuing long-run forecasts that ultimately are correct, or nearly so. Given the lack of new fundamental news found between yest...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...