World Perspectives

No is Not a Policy; Fame and Combat; Dazed and Confused

No is Not a Policy The U.S. announced in Geneva that there will not be a ministerial declaration in Buenos Aires later this year. This would be the first time for such a vacuum coming out of a ministerial and reflects the Trump administration once again putting on its black hat. Members looked askance when India used such leverage in a consensus-based organization to achieve its desired concessions, but better form is expected of a developed country. Still, the problem is not the tactic but the lack of a goal. It would have been better for the Trump administration to have demanded that a trade liberalization organization like the WTO deliver an aggressive reduction in trade barriers, and then pick up its toys and go home when the organizat...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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The CBOT was higher overnight as the U.S. dollar fell to a three-year low, but the day session saw the major ag market slip lower and end in the red with pressure from macroeconomic markets increasing. In addition to sparking trade wars with nearly every major U.S. trading partner, U.S. Preside...

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Barriers are Good; Squeezed in the Trade War; Calculating the Impacts; Tax is a Tax

Barriers are Good The issue de jour is tariffs. Donald Trump is vilified by conventionalists for the self-induced wound of raising this single barrier to business. As a businessman, Trump sees a complex web of market barriers. Domestic regulations, domestic taxes, but also foreign tariffs (taxe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina Macroeconomic Updates Argentina saw a shortened trading week, with no markets last Thursday and Friday. It was also the first week of trading under the new exchange rate regulations, so it took the markets a few days to adjust. Regarding the official exchange rate, it opened on Monday...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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