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No Rice Shortage

Food scarcity has been a frequent headline this year but with food inflation now dropping along with commodity prices, rice is an example of the scare that wasn’t. The monsoon was late starting in India, leading concerns that the world’s largest rice exporter would be driving up prices by 10 percent. Weather has now returned to normal, and the September rice contract has shed 3.5 percent in value over the past few weeks.  USDA forecasts global rice production to rise a modest 0.37 percent, but global rice exports will increase by 1.8 percent. Rice is a more water intensive crop than most and could be the most impacted by climate change. This should turn the research focus on genetics with less intensive water requirements...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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