Conab Reduces Brazilian Soybean Crop Estimate Conab, Brazil’s crop supply agency, today reduced its estimate for the country’s 2019 soybean crop by 1.6 percent from 115.343 MMT to 113.459 MMT. This change is based on an average yield of 3.168 MT/hectare (47.1 bushels/acre). Conab also lowered its forecast for Brazil’s soybean exports in its MY 2019/20 from 71.5 MMT to 70 MMT and pegged the previous marketing year total at 83.605 MMT. Brazil’s soybeans harvest is about 57 percent complete. Approximately 95 percent of the soybeans have been harvested in Mato Grosso versus only 8 percent in Rio Grande do Sul. In some states that have had persistent recent rainfall (e.g., Minas Gerais), farmers indicate there have been...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.