China’s Heilongjiang Province Doubles Subsidy for Soybeans Heilongjiang Province, China’s top soybean and corn producer, has doubled its subsidy for growing soybeans to 320 yuan/mu ($330/acre or $815/hectare at the current exchange rate) as a way to boost production. To further encourage expanded soybean plantings in 2019 at the expense of the corn crop, the province reduced its subsidy for the latter from 134 yuan/mu to 25 yuan mu ($25.80/acre or $63.75/hectare). The province is following the lead of the central Chinese government, which wants to greatly increase soybean production to reduce reliance on imports, particularly from the U.S. This goal is a direct result of the current U.S.-China trade war. Interestingly, the su...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: Traders are increasingly focused on next Wednesday’s August WASDE report, with corn and soybean yield estimates expected to drive the next major move in grain markets. Recent crop condition declines and late-July heat have increased uncertainty around USDA&rs...
Yesterday the Senate Agriculture Committee held its markup of the “skinny” farm bill, and it was derailed over Democratic opposition to plans for imposing food stamp costs on state governments. The Democrats pushed back on a provision that required states to pick up a larger share o...
Key Takeaways: WPI’s 2025/26 corn export models continue to reflect strong international demand and put the total marketing year volume slightly above USDA’s estimates. Strong old crop corn exports are offset by weaker feed and residual use, leaving ending stocks slightly ele...