The MarketToday’s IGC report increased the growth in global soybean carryout and thus reinforced the bearish trend in the November futures contract. There are still counterfactuals such as Brazil’s delayed planting, low moisture U.S. pods, plus wilt (Fusarium oxysporum) and Brown stem rot (Cadaphora gregata). But harvest pressure, improved weather, the diminishment of the La Nina threat, falling oil prices, and a rising dollar all drive a larger narrative. The small net-long held by managed money last week has likely collapsed. Today, soybeans experienced just the third higher close in October thus far. After falling by double-digits, it bounced off 970/bushel and instead closed 9.75 cents higher. However, whether this hook reversal is sust...
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.