World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Situation Update

As the trading week closed out, the soy complex incurred another series of impressive gains largely driven by production uncertainties in South America. The CFTC reports that speculators increased their net long positions in soybeans in the week to 4 January by 5,140 contracts to a total of 85,850 contracts. Supply Analysts have already begun reducing their estimates for Brazilian production (see graph below). If Brazilian consultancy AgRural is correct, Brazil will have the lowest yield since 2015/16. A new official estimate will be issued by Brazil’s Conab on 11 January and by USDA on 12 January. The trade expects USDA to make a modest cut from its current 144 MMT estimate for Brazilian soybeans to 141.6 MMT. They also expect U.S...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 16 September)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkey’s courts have surprised the grain/oilseed industry by ruling that an arbitration award like a recent one on a FOSFA contract cannot be enforced in Turkey. This decision will be of concern to sellers and buyers using b...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for the sixth straight week to put returns at their highest point in two years. The increase in margins came despite a pullback in beef values as packers were able to push fed cattle prices even lower and increase profits. The big concern for packers in the next 3-4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 16 September)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkey’s courts have surprised the grain/oilseed industry by ruling that an arbitration award like a recent one on a FOSFA contract cannot be enforced in Turkey. This decision will be of concern to sellers and buyers using b...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for the sixth straight week to put returns at their highest point in two years. The increase in margins came despite a pullback in beef values as packers were able to push fed cattle prices even lower and increase profits. The big concern for packers in the next 3-4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Waiting for Confirmation or Contradiction

The CBOT was mostly in the red to start the week with the bullishness from Friday’s WASDE report failing to trigger enthusiasm from bulls this week. Corn and soybeans both tried to rally and follow Friday’s bullish action, but quickly triggered farmer/hedge selling and profit taking...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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