Most of the current changes are on the supply side of the ledger. This week’s USDA WASDE has come and gone but its effects linger. The agency’s 7 percent increase in U.S. surplus soybeans stocks held more sway than its reduction in global carryover down to 95 MMT from the December estimate of 102 MMT. However, it is the estimates for South America that are the most volatile now.
This is all due to the uncertainties over whether the La Niña is breaking now, or later. There will be some significant rains starting this weekend but the latest question is whether they will rescue southern Brazil or just Argentina? Still to be assessed are qualitative impacts with Famasul saying soybean quality in Mato Grosso do Sul is being...
Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2026 The new marketing season has officially begun in Russia, although bearish sentiment has been concentrated in the southern regions closest to the Black Sea ports, where export demand has been weakest. Delays in grain deliveries to inland elevators have...
What You Need to Know Today: The hot, dry weather forecast continues to drive strength in grain futures with corn and soybeans hitting another day of strong gains. Monday’s Crop Progress and Conditions data were in line with market expectations and showed relatively few concerns for the...
Yesterday we wrote about the Q1 GDP numbers and the June employment reports in an article entitled Real GDP for Q1 Relying on AI Buildout, Held Back by Consumer Spending. That article mentioned that consumer spending had become a drag on GDP. Nonetheless, real GDP in Q1 was revised upward to 2...
